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Income inequality and income bias in voter turnout

Matsubayashi, Tetsuya 大阪大学

2020

概要

People’s decisions on whether to vote in elections are shaped by both individual and contextual characteristics. For example, it is widely documented that people with particular demographic characteristics
(i.e., wealthy, highly educated, or older) are more likely to vote in elections than are others without
those characteristics. However, the influence of individual-level predictors is only part of the story
(Matsusaka and Palda, 1999), with political and institutional characteristics surrounding voters also
playing a crucial role in determining who votes and why.1
This study seeks to understand the interaction between individual and contextual determinants of
turnout by focusing on how income inequality in society affects the degree of income bias in turnout
(i.e., the wealthy are more likely to vote than the poor are). Numerous studies based on the United
States (Leighley and Nagler, 2014; Rosenstone and Hansen, 1993; Schlozman, Verba and Brady, 2012;
Verba, Schlozman and Brady, 1995; Wolfinger and Rosenstone, 1980) and other parts of the world
(Anderson and Beramendi, 2008; Gallego, 2015; Verba, Nie and Kim, 1978) have presented evidence
of the prevalence of income bias in turnout.2 The degree of this bias may be affected by political and
economic characteristics of society, particularly, by income inequality.
Previous research presents competing hypotheses and evidence on how rising income inequality in
society affects the degree of income bias in turnout (Jensen and Jespersen, 2017). The first hypothesis
(Solt, 2008, 2015; Gallego, 2015) suggests that rising income inequality exaggerates the income bias
in turnout by demobilizing low-income citizens. This is because higher income inequality allows highincome citizens to accumulate more resources with which to dominate political contests. ...

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