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Medical checkup data analysis method based on LiNGAM and its application to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

UCHIDA Tsuyoshi FUJIWARA Koichi 10642514 0000-0002-2929-0561 NISHIOJI Kenichi KOBAYASHI Masao KANO Manabu SEKO Yuya YAMAGUCHI Kanji ITOH Yoshito KADOTANI Hiroshi 90362516 0000-0001-7474-3315 滋賀医科大学

2022.06

概要

Although medical checkup data would be useful for identifying unknown factors of disease progression, a causal relationship between checkup items should be taken into account for precise analysis. Missing values in medical checkup data must be appropriately imputed because checkup items vary from person to person, and items that have not been tested include missing values. In addition, the patients with target diseases or disorders are small in comparison with the total number of persons recorded in the data, which means medical checkup data is an imbalanced data analysis. We propose a new method for analyzing the causal relationship in medical checkup data to discover disease progression factors based on a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model (LiNGAM), a machine learning technique for causal inference. In the proposed method, specific regression coefficients calculated through LiNGAM were compared to estimate the causal strength of the checkup items on disease progression, which is referred to as LiNGAM-beta. We also propose an analysis framework consisting of LiNGAM-beta, collaborative filtering (CF), and a sampling approach for causal inference of medical checkup data. CF and the sampling approach are useful for missing value imputation and balancing of the data distribution. We applied the proposed analysis framework to medical checkup data for identifying factors of Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) development. The checkup items related to metabolic syndrome and age showed high causal effects on NAFLD severity. The level of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) would have a negative effect on NAFLD severity. Snoring frequency, which is associated with obstructive sleep apnea, affected NAFLD severity, particularly in the male group. Sleep duration also affected NAFLD severity in persons over fifty years old. These analysis results are consistent with previous reports about the causes of NAFLD; for example, NAFLD and metabolic syndrome are mutual and bi-directionally related, and BUN has a negative effect on NAFLD progression. Thus, our analysis result is plausible. The proposed analysis framework including LiNGAM-beta can be applied to various medical checkup data and will contribute to discovering unknown disease factors.

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5. Conclusion

In this study, we proposed a new medical checkup data analysis

method based on LiNGAM. In the proposed LiNGAM-beta, we can

quantitatively analyze the causal directions and strengths among health

checkup items. We adopted CF for missing value imputation of the

medical checkup data. We performed a causal effect analysis to identify

NAFLD severity factors from the medical checkup data based on the

proposed LiNGAM-beta. Since the causal relationships estimated by

LiNGAM-beta were consistent with previous reports on NAFLD pro­

gression, it is appropriate to use the proposed method for causal analysis

of medical checkup data. In particular, our analysis indicated that BUN

is a candidate factor of NAFLD progression, although additional exper­

iments and collection of clinical data are needed to confirm our result.

In future works, we will try to analyze medical checkup data

including binary or discrete variables, such as answers to questionnaires.

Since there has been an attempt to extend LiNGAM so that it can deal

with discrete variables [69], we will adopt such a method. We will apply

the proposed method to other types of EHR in order to identify unknown

factors of various diseases. As for clinical data, we will apply the pro­

posed LiNGAM-beta with appropriate feature extraction and formatting,

and compare it with other existing methods.

Funding

This work was supported in part by JST PRESTO #JPMJPR1859.

Data availability statement

The health examination data will be made available by the corre­

sponding author to colleagues who propose a reasonable scientific

request after approval by the institutional review board of the Japanese

Red Cross Kyoto Daini Hospital.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

K. F is with Quadlytics Inc. as well as Nagoya University. M. K is with

Quadlytics Inc. as well as Kyoto University. H. K's laboratory is sup­

ported by donations from Fukuda Lifetech Co., Ltd., Fukuda Life Tech

Keiji Co., Ltd., Tanaka Sleep Clinic, Akita Sleep Clinic, and Ai Ai Care

Co., Ltd., made to the Shiga University of Medical Science. Other authors

declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any com­

mercial or financial relationship that could be construed as a potential

conflict of interest.

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