リケラボ論文検索は、全国の大学リポジトリにある学位論文・教授論文を一括検索できる論文検索サービスです。

リケラボ 全国の大学リポジトリにある学位論文・教授論文を一括検索するならリケラボ論文検索大学・研究所にある論文を検索できる

リケラボ 全国の大学リポジトリにある学位論文・教授論文を一括検索するならリケラボ論文検索大学・研究所にある論文を検索できる

大学・研究所にある論文を検索できる 「The impact of natural disaster on households’ decision in Vietnam : Analysis of food consumption and migration decision」の論文概要。リケラボ論文検索は、全国の大学リポジトリにある学位論文・教授論文を一括検索できる論文検索サービスです。
リケラボ

コピーが完了しました

URLをコピーしました

論文の公開元へ論文の公開元へ
書き出し

The impact of natural disaster on households’ decision in Vietnam : Analysis of food consumption and migration decision

HUYNH Thi Kim Uyen 北海道大学

2022.03.24

概要

Due to its geographical characteristics—a long seaside by the Pacific Ocean—Vietnam is prone to natural disasters and most vulnerable to climate change. Thus, natural disaster prevention, response, and mitigation have become more important and indispensable than ever in the country. This study examines the impact of natural disasters on households’ decisions by analyzing changes in food consumption patterns and migration decisions and attempts to offer additional information to policymakers on households’ response and mitigation strategies. Furthermore, natural disasters occur more often and widely because of the El Niño phenomenon that occurred in 2016.

The occurrence of natural disasters in Vietnam is described in Chapter 1. Chapter 2 discusses the national and household losses due to natural disasters in Vietnam and the national response using household-level data from the Vietnam Access to Resources Household Survey (VARHS) for 2012– 2014 and 2014–2016. Reduction in consumption is the most frequently chosen reaction to natural disasters.

The impact of natural disasters on children is analyzed in Chapter 3 based on the food allocation decision called the adult goods approach. Adult goods are goods consumed by adults only, such as alcoholic beverages, tobacco, adult clothes, entertainment, and gambling, assumed to be in a trade-off relationship between child consumption. Assuming that adult consumers in households reduce their consumption of adult goods once they have a child, and if the degree of reduction is greater for boys, households favor boys. Weather-related shocks generally cause a loss in income; therefore, households alter expenditure patterns. Analyzing this change in expenditure patterns reveals important information on the impact on human capital accumulation, such as child health and education.

This study investigates the demand for adult goods in normal and emergency situations by constructing a household panel of beer and rice wine consumption. It investigates the impact of weather shock on gendered allocation by applying ordinary least square regressions with fixed effects, representing the unobserved factors affecting household consumption patterns, such as specific preferences or local conditions.

The results indicate that boys are preferred in normal situations, but they become balanced in emergencies. This is because total consumption is reduced, and affected households must manage the emergency. They cannot look further into children’s future, such as education or health conditions. Therefore, even if the allocation of food consumption is balanced, the consumption situation is reduced. Moreover, a balanced allocation of consumption between boys and girls is not a preferred outcome in an emergency.

Natural disastrous events result in different extents of loss to affected households. In this situation, reducing consumption is generally the most frequently chosen option for the first reaction. However, to smoothen their consumption over the period, especially the necessity consumption, households need to find additional income sources, and migration is a popular choice among the coping responses to climate-related disasters. This study offers additional evidence on the relationship between natural disasters and migration choice. It explicitly differentiates the role of remittances from household members and non-members called private transfers.

The impact of natural disasters on household decisions to send new or more migrants is analyzed in Chapter 4. The VARHS data from 2012–2014 and 2014–2016, when El Niño hit Vietnam, were employed in this study. Natural disasters in Vietnam in 2014 were seasonal. However, under the extreme El Niño phenomena in 2016, the damage caused by disasters such as droughts and salinity intrusion became widespread and more severe.

This study found that El Niño compelled households to send more or new migrants. Furthermore, a household’s connection with the migrant society and the financial ability to cover migration costs significantly affect this decision. It was found that households that received remittances from members in the previous period were more likely to send more migrants in the following period when El Niño occurred. Regarding the connection to migrant society, private transfers also provided financial support for migration. However, poor households are constrained by financial resources, and thus, face difficulty sending migrants. This may expand the income gap between poor households and those who can send migrants. Therefore, it is important to expand working opportunities and education as ex-ante risk-coping measures, especially for the poor.

Chapter 5 presents the conclusions of this study. In an emergency, children or poor households are more severely affected by natural disasters; thus, policymakers should consider the vulnerable population when considering coping measures in the face of natural disasters in Vietnam. Furthermore, developing strategies and plans for natural disaster prevention should focus on the instant aftermath and longer perspectives.

論文の公開元へ

この論文で使われている画像

関連論文

関連論文をもっと見る

参考文献

Abdulai, A., & Regmi, P. P. (2000). Estimating labor supply of farm households under nonseparability: Empirical evidence from Nepal. Agricultural Economics, 22(3), 309–320. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-5150(00)00047-5

Adamo, S. B., & Izazola, H. (2010). Human migration and the environment. Population and Environment, 32(2), 105–108. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-010-0130-0

Ahamad, M. G., & Khondker, R. K. (2010). Climate Risks, Seasonal Food Insecurity and Consumption Coping Strategies: Evidences from a Micro-level Study from Northern Bangladesh. Economics Bulletin, 30(2), 1444–1459.

Almeida, A. N., & Bravo-Ureta, B. E. (2019). Agricultural productivity, shadow wages and off-farm labor decisions in Nicaragua. Economic Systems, 43(1), 99–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2018.09.002

Arouri, M., Nguyen, C., & Youssef, A. Ben. (2015). Natural Disasters, Household Welfare, and Resilience: Evidence from Rural Vietnam. World Development, 70, 59–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.12.017

Aurino, E. (2017). Do boys eat better than girls in India? Longitudinal evidence on dietary diversity and food consumption disparities among children and adolescents. Economics and Human Biology, 25, 99–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2016.10.007

Beine, M., & Parsons, C. (2015). Climatic factors as determinants of international migration.

Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 117(2), 723–767. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12098 Berlemann, M., & Steinhardt, M. F. (2017). Climate change, natural disasters, and migration-a survey

of the empirical evidence. CESifo Economic Studies, 63(4), 353–385. https://doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/ifx019

Bidisha, S. H., Khan, A., Imran, K., Khondker, B. H., & Suhrawardy, G. M. (2017). Role of credit in food security and dietary diversity in Bangladesh. Economic Analysis and Policy, 53, 33–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2016.10.004

Bohra-Mishra, P., Oppenheimer, M., & Hsiang, S. M. (2014). Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(27), 9780–9785.https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1317166111

Carpena, F. (2019). How do droughts impact household food consumption and nutritional intake? A study of rural India. World Development, 122, 349–369. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.06.005

Chapagain, B., & Gentle, P. (2015). Withdrawing from Agrarian Livelihoods : Environmental Migration in Nepal. Journal of Mountain Science, 12(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629 9-014-3017-1

Chaudhury, N., Christiaensen, L., & Asadullah, M. (2006). Schools, Household, Risk, and Gender: Determinants of Child Schooling in Ethiopia. 1–24.

Clements, K. W., & Si, J. W. (2018). Engel’s law, diet diversity, and the quality of food consumption. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 100(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aax053 Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Murray, S., & Wheeler, D. (2009). Sea-level rise and storm surges: a comparative analysis of impacts in developing countries. The World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper Series.

Dasgupta, S., Moqbul Hossain, M., Huq, M., & Wheeler, D. (2014). Facing the Hungry Tide: Climate Change, Livelihood Threats, and Household Responses in Coastal Bangladesh. Policy Research Working Paper, No. 7148. World Bank Group, Washington, DC. © World Bank. Retrieved from https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/21143 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO

Deaton, A. (1989). Looking for boy-girl discrimination in household expenditure data. World Bank Economic Review, 3(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/3.1.1

Dillon, A., Mueller, V., & Salau, S. (2011). Migratory responses to agricultural risk in northern Nigeria. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 93(4), 1048–1061. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aar033

Drescher, L. S., & Goddard, E. W. (2011). Heterogeneous Demand for Food Diversity: a Quantile Regression Analysis. Conference Paper/ Presentation. http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/114484

Dun, O. (2011). Migration and Displacement Triggered by Floods in the Mekong Delta. International Migration, 49(SUPPL.1). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2435.2010.00646.x

Ezra, M., & Kiros, G.-E. (2001). Rural out-migration in the drought prone areas of Ethiopia: A multilevel analysis. International Migration Review, 35(3), 749–771.

FAO (2016) 2015-2016 EL NIÑO, Early action and response for agriculture, food security and nutrition, Working draft Update #10.

Fock, A. (2017). Remarks by Mr. Achim Fock, World Bank Acting Country Director for Vietnam. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/speech/2017/10/13/integrated-disaster-risk-management- and-agricultural-resilience-to-climate-hazards-in-vietnam

Fuwa, N. (2014). Pro-girl Bias in Intra-household Allocation in the Rural Philippines: Revisiting the “Adult Goods” Approach. Review of Development Economics, 18(4), 727–740. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12115

General Statistics Office of Vietnam. https://www.gso.gov.vn

Gray, C. L., & Mueller, V. (2012). Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(16), 6000– 6005. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1115944109

Gray, C., & Wise, E. (2016). Country-specific effects of climate variability on human migration. Climatic Change, 135(3–4), 555–568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1592-y

Groen, E. T., & Jacobs, C. (2012). Risk Mapping Vietnam. Sector Disaster Risk Reduction & Emergency Aid, (January).

Gröger, A., & Zylberberg, Y. (2016). Internal labor migration as a shock coping strategy: Evidence from a typhoon. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 8(2), 123–153. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20140362

Halliday, T. (2006). Migration, risk, and liquidity constraints in El Salvador. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 54(4), 893–925. https://doi.org/10.1086/503584

Henry, S., Schoumaker, B., & Beauchemin, C. (2004). The Impact of Rainfall on the First Out- Migration: A Multi-level Event-History Analysis in Burkina Faso. Population and Environment, 25, 423-460. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:POEN.0000036928.17696.e8

Herrera-Fontana, M. E., Chisaguano, A. M., Villagomez, V., Pozo, L., Castro, N., & Beltran, P. (2020). Food insecurity and malnutrition in vulnerable households with children under 5 years on the Ecuadorian coast: a post-earthquake analysis. Rural and Remote Health, 20(1). https://doi.org/10.22605/RRH5237

Huang, Y., & Tian, X. (2019). Food accessibility, diversity of agricultural production and dietary pattern in rural China. Food Policy, 84(March), 92–102.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.03.002

Jacoby, H. G. (1993). Shadow wages and peasant family labour supply: An econometric application to the peruvian sierra. Review of Economic Studies, 60(4), 903–921. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/2298105

Jha, C. K., Gupta, V., Chattopadhyay, U., & Amarayil Sreeraman, B. (2018). Migration as adaptation strategy to cope with climate change: A study of farmers’ migration in rural India. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 10(1), 121–141.

Kianersi, S., Jules, R., Zhang, Y., Luetke, M., & Rosenberg, M. (2021). Associations between hurricane exposure, food insecurity, and microfinance; a cross-sectional study in Haiti. World Development, 145, 105530. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105530

Kleemans, M. (2015) Migration choice under risk and liquidity constraints. 2015 AAEA &WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 200702, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 1-62.

Koohi-Kamali, F. M. (2011). To Child Gender Bias : Evidence From Iran. Journal of applied business research, 27(4), 23–28.

Koubi, V., Spilker, G., Schaffer, L., & Bernauer, T. (2016). Environmental Stressors and Migration: Evidence from Vietnam. World Development, 79, 197–210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.016

Larson, J. B., Castellanos, P., & Jensen, L. (2019). Gender, household food security, and dietary diversity in western Honduras. Global Food Security, 20(November 2017), 170–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2019.01.005

Le T Kien. (2009). Kien (AJAE 2009).pdf. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 91, pp.685–696.

Mahajan, K. (2017). Rainfall Shocks and the Gender Wage Gap: Evidence from Indian Agriculture. World Development, 91, 156–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.11.004

Marchetta, F., Sahn, D. E., & Tiberti, L. (2019). The Role of Weather on Schooling and Work of Young Adults in Madagascar. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 101(4), 1203–1227. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aaz015

Mishra, V., & Ray, R. (2009). Dietary diversity, food security and undernourishment: The Vietnamese evidence. Asian Economic Journal, 23(2), 225–247. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2009.02010.x

Mozumder, P., Bohara, A. K., Berrens, R. P., & Halim, N. (2009). Private transfers to cope with a natural disaster: Evidence from Bangladesh. Environment and Development Economics, 14(2), 187–210.

Oka, C., Saito, Y., & Khuu, T. P. D. (2020). Risk management of Vietnam rice farmer under salinity problem -migration and multi-crop farming-. Kaihatsugaku Kenkyu, 31(1), 2-8.

Oryoie, A. R., & Alwang, J. (2018). School attendance and economic shocks: Evidence from rural Zimbabwe. Development Southern Africa, 35(6), 803–814. https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835X.2018.1496814

Phuong, L. T. H., Biesbroek, G. R., Sen, L. T. H., & Wals, A. E. J. (2018). Understanding smallholder farmers’ capacity to respond to climate change in a coastal community in Central Vietnam. Climate and Development, 10(8), 701–716. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2017.1411240

Piguet, E. (2010). Linking climate change, environmental degradation, and migration: A methodological overview. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1(4), 517–524. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.54

Pilarczyk, K. W., & Nuoi, N. S. (2005). Experience and practices on flood control in vietnam. Water International, 30(1), 114–122. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060508691843

Poot, J., Alimi, O., Cameron, M. P., & Maré, D. C. (2016). The gravity model of migration: The successful comeback of an ageing superstar in regional science. Investigaciones Regionales - Journal of Regional Research, 36, 63-86. IZA DP No. 10329.

Reuveny, R., & Moore, W. H. (2009). Does environmental degradation influence migration? Emigration to developed countries in the late 1980s and 1990s. Social Science Quarterly, 90(3), 461–479. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6237.2009.00569.x

Rizov, M., Cupak, A., & Pokrivcak, J. (2014). Food Security and Household Consumption Patterns in Slovakia. SSRN Electronic Journal. 10.2139/ssrn.2557372.

Rothbarth, E. (1943). Note on a Method of Determining Equivalent Income for Families of Different Consumption. In C. Madge (Ed.), War-time Pattern of Saving and Spending (123–130). The University Press.

Ruyssen, I., & Rayp, G. (2014). Determinants of Intraregional Migration in Sub-Saharan Africa 1980- 2000. Journal of Development Studies, 50(3), 426–443. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2013.866218

Sawada, Y., & Shimizutani, S. (2008). How do people cope with natural disasters? Evidence from the great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake in 1995. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 40(2– 3), 463–488. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2008.00122.x

Skoufias, E. (1994). Using Shadow Wages to Estimate Labor Supply of Agricultural Households. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 76(2), 215–227. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/1243623

Sutton, W. R., Srivastava, J. P., Rosegrant, M., Thurlow, J., and Sebastian, L. (2019) Striking a balance: Managing El Niño and La Niña in Vietnam’s agriculture, Rep No. 132068, World Bank, Washington, DC.

Thiele, S., & Weiss, C. (2003). Consumer demand for food diversity: Evidence for Germany. Food Policy, 28(2), 99–115. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0306-9192(02)00068-4

Trung, L. D. (2013). Economic and Welfare Impacts of Disasters in East Asia and Policy Responses: The Case of Vietnam. ERIA Discussion Paper Series.

UNDP (2016) Vietnam drought and saltwater intrusion: Transitioning from emergency to recovery, analysis report and policy implications.

Vietnam Disaster Management Authority. https://phongchongthientai.mard.gov.vn Vietnam Government Portal. https://www.chinhphu.vn

Wang, M., Liao, C., Yang, S., Zhao, W., Liu, M., & Shi, P. (2012). Are People Willing to Buy Natural Disaster Insurance in China? Risk Awareness, Insurance Acceptance, and Willingness to Pay. Risk Analysis, 32(10), 1717–1740. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01797.x

World Bank. (2017). An Integrated Strategy Can Help Vietnam Manage Disaster Risks: Joint World Bank – Vietnam Conferencee. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2017/10/13/integrated-strategy-can-help- vietnam-manage-disaster-risks

参考文献をもっと見る

全国の大学の
卒論・修論・学位論文
を
一発検索！

この論文の関連論文を見る